Event Title
Turning Texas Blue in 2032
Loading...
Faculty Mentor
Dr. Mark Owens
Document Type
Poster Presentation
Date of Publication
2021
Abstract
A view of the 2020 election map provides a vivid picture of the intense level of polarization existing within the United States today. The primary color red represents Republicans and blue signifies Democrats. The extreme division between parties is reflective in the position of each hue on a color wheel, both sitting opposite from one another. Can red become blue? History demonstrates that California was red until the 1992 Presidential election. The purpose of this research is to explore the possibility of Texas switching from red to blue. In this paper, voter information from ’92 will be analyzed against current day Texas voter demographics to determine the role diversity plays in shifting a state politically. Is it possible to turn Texas blue in 2032?
Keywords
Texas Politics, Party Shifts, Texas Turning Blue
Persistent Identifier
http://hdl.handle.net/10950/3090
Duff_Poster
Turning Texas Blue in 2032
A view of the 2020 election map provides a vivid picture of the intense level of polarization existing within the United States today. The primary color red represents Republicans and blue signifies Democrats. The extreme division between parties is reflective in the position of each hue on a color wheel, both sitting opposite from one another. Can red become blue? History demonstrates that California was red until the 1992 Presidential election. The purpose of this research is to explore the possibility of Texas switching from red to blue. In this paper, voter information from ’92 will be analyzed against current day Texas voter demographics to determine the role diversity plays in shifting a state politically. Is it possible to turn Texas blue in 2032?
Comments
Dr. Mark Owens commented "Stacy, this is the argument that will be debated for years, because Texas is a case study that defies the theory of a racial realignment in the South. Essentially, you bring one of the strongest independent variable explanations of politics to try to answer a big question. You also correctly select comparison within state as the method. That allows you to compare which group is larger, relative to all other large groups and so on. Bold prediction on 12 years from now! But I see that you are able to use future population projections and current political attitudes to inform that forecast."